More national assets will be privatised – Emefiele

Godwin Emefiele, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), says more state-owned enterprises will be privatised.

The governor made this known to journalists at a press conference to mark the end of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, in Bali, Indonesia.

Udoma Udo Udoma, minister for budget and national planning, Zainab Ahmed, minister for finance and Mary Uduk, acting director general of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), also gave feedback from the various meetings they attended.

“As you all know, CBN is the majority shareholder in mint and it was thought fit that being the majority shareholder and given that mint is an important national asset, that Bureau of Public enterprises should divest from mint and that is why that happened,” Emefiele said on Sunday.

“On this issue of whether more and more of this will be coming, I am aware as a member of the national council on privatisation that more are coming and I believe in due course the BPE will make this available for us.

“I’m also aware that ASCON is also in the cart for a total review of the process of privatization so that our aluminium sector can eventually come to live.”

Below is the full text of their presentations

“We don’t have a debt problem because at the ratio of 3 percent of GDP we have one of the lowest debt, in fact, the lowest debt among our comparative countries.

What we have is a revenue problem and we need to work to increase our revenue to ease our debt service obligations. So we have to enhance our domestic revenue mobilisation so that we can ease the debt service burden that we now carry.

We have a lot of headroom to borrow but we are not rushing to borrow more because have to consider the foreign debt service that we carry.

We have so far in the 2018 budget released N460 billion naira and this is for capital projects.

We really are in a situation where we have to consider increasing building fiscal buffers because even though the global economy is going positively upward there are still a lot of fragilities, a lot of countries, including our own, and the next wave of recession that might hit the global economy might not be the one that any country can quickly come out from unless the country has sufficient buffers.

So as a country, both the federal and the state, we have to look at how to save more and we have to look at how to invest more in critical infrastructure that we yield revenue.

And that is what came across throughout the meeting from the world bank, from the IMF, that all countries, not just Africa but globally need to build more fiscal buffers.

There are only a few countries in the world that have saved so much in the world that any shock will not affect them.

The upcoming bonds that we are trying to raise should be within 2018 and it is within the approved budget, so we are not going beyond what was approved in the budget.

The budget has approval for us to borrow both locally and domestically and we have a bond issuance within the range of $2.8 billion that we need to raise before this year closes out. That will be used to finance the capital projects in the 2018 budget.

Let me tell you what we are doing in terms of more transparency with NNPC reporting. There was a committee that was set up by the president on revenue mobilisation.

One of the intentions is to ensure that all revenues are reported in a transparent manner that committee is working to support FAAC and they have agreed on new reporting template for NNPC which is still being negotiated.

NNPC has reviewed the template and made its input and FAAC has also reviewed the template. It has to be agreed and then NNPC will start reporting in that template.

The essence is for NNPC to make its reporting more granular so that more information will be provided on the revenue that is generated and the costs they have incurred. We hope that in the next few weeks it will be concluded and the new reporting will take effect.

We are already taxing companies with the rates approved in the tax laws. For to change the taxes it means we will review the tax laws that may be a process we will address in the future, right now we don’t have any plan to review upward taxes in Nigeria.

Instead, what we are trying to do is to identify people who are supposed to pay tax but they are not paying. A lot of efforts is being put to expand the tax base as well as improving the tax collecting processes and it is already yielding results. We have seen our tax base grow from 13 million to 19 million. That number is not enough for a country of 185 million.

The discussion we had with IMF managing director included the concerns around what is going to happen to the economy because of the elections. So what we did was that we assured them that we have directive by the president to focus on the economy.

There are a few key functions within the government that has been directed to focus on working to sustain the growth that we have in the economy and not to be distracted by election processes. Some of us are actually focusing on the economy and IMF was comfortable with that and they said that was a good strategy.”

“You will recall that about 2009 through 2011 was a period of quantitative easing and those periods were marked by the flow of capital from the United States and Europe, even Japan. Capital from these countries ended up in the emerging market and developing countries.

At this time that we have started to see reversals in monetary policy, where interest rates are rising and naturally those flows are beginning to return back to where they came from. Practically all emerging markets have suffered, not just by depreciation, but also lost reserves.

While we are at this meeting, our host country has reported a loss of about $20 billion in foreign exchange reserves and at the same time suffered currency depreciation, which is the same for the rest of the emerging market economies.

For Nigeria, we have lost only reserves by a margin, in my view and at the same time, we have managed to sustain stability in our foreign exchange market. I think we have done a very good job, not only trying to maintain a stable exchange rate but trying to avoid depreciating our currency so far in this early days of normalisation.

We have lost reserve yes, somewhat marginally in my view, and at the same time, we have managed to sustain stability in our foreign exchange market.

It is not about trying to say that others have not done a good job but am saying in Nigeria, we have done a very good job.

We are trying to see to it that we maintain a stable exchange rate and avoid the pitfall of depreciating our currency so soon in the early days of the normalisation.

We are going to need to build buffers but unfortunately, I must say that we are I  a period where it is difficult to talk about building reserves. You can only build reserve buffers if you want to hold on the reserve while allowing your currency to go and wherever it goes is something else.

It is a choice we have to make and at this time, the choice for Nigeria is to maintain a stable exchange rate so that businesses can plan and we don’t create a problem in the banking system assets.

Naturally, when this happens, it results in weakening of assets, raising non-performing loans, and other wide implications. This is why we will maintain the posture we have and we believe that it is sustainable in the short run.

Like you all know, CBN is the majority shareholder in mint and it was thought fit that being the majority shareholder and given that mint is an important national asset, that Bureau of Public enterprises should divest from mint and that is why that happened.

On this issue of whether more and more of this will be coming, I am aware as a member of the national council on privatization that more are coming and I believe in due course the BPE will make this available for us.

I also aware of the situations like ASCON that has been burned by takeovers and that is also on the cart for a total review of the process of privatization and making payment so that our aluminium sector can eventually come to live.”

“I just want to add something and that is the issue of human capital development. What I want to say is that where we have today is not where we want to be. But it is the result of cumulative neglect over a period of time and one of the things in the ERGP that we clearly identified is that we need to clearly invest in our people. And we are doing so but it takes time.

Just by the way of illustration, the capital allocation to education which in 2015 was N22.52 billion, by 2018 we are taking up to N102.9 billion. In health, the capital allocation was N22.68 billion in 2015, in 2018 we are taking the capital allocation up to N86.49 billion.

We have taken capital allocation to N86.49 billion. In addition, in this year’s budget, we are setting aside N55.15 billion under the provisions of the National Health Act, as well as N3.5 billion counterpart funding for GAVI immunization, which is in the service-wide vote.

So, what I want to say, basically, is that it has been the focus in the ERGP. We have increased funding to those areas that bother on human capital development because we are conscious of investing in our people. But it takes time for these things to manifest.”

“We have had questions as it concerns the outflow of investors from the country. Foreign would normally want to leave a frontier market once interest rate begins to go up in advance economies, especially in the United States, as we currently have.

Having foreign investors is good as they bring in liquidity and efficiency, and transparency in the market.

We are also encouraging our local investors by giving them confidence in the market. We have put in place, incentives like risk base supervision, to enable usproperly monitor the works of the CMO’s.

 We are also encouraging new product to deepen the market, like thee non-interest finance related products

 We are looking to increase and encourage the commodity ecosystem. We are also looking to introduce derivatives in the market. As we speak, our rules on derivatives are ready and we are building internal capacity to supervise all of these.” (The Cable)