Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states – Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona – that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.
Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters, which include responses from some who cast ballots ahead of the formal Nov. 3 Election Day. Early voting has shot to record levels amid the coronavirus pandemic:
WISCONSIN (Oct. 20 – Oct. 26):
* Voting for Biden: 53%
* Voting for Trump: 44%
* Biden’s advantage is marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week.
* 33% said they already had voted.
* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.
* 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 20 – Oct. 26):
* Voting for Biden: 50%
* Voting for Trump: 45%
* Biden’s lead is marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* 21% said they already had voted.
* 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
* 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.
FLORIDA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20)
* Voting for Biden: 50%
* Voting for Trump: 46%
* Biden’s apparent lead is on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* Prior poll showed the two essentially even, with Biden at 49% and Trump at 47%.
* 21% said they already had voted.
* 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
* 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
ARIZONA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 21):
* Voting for Biden: 49%
* Voting for Trump: 46%
* With the margin within the survey’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied.
* Prior poll showed Biden with a 50%-46% lead that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* 27% said they already had voted.
* 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better.
* 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
MICHIGAN (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20):
* Voting for Biden: 51%
* Voting for Trump: 44%
* Biden was up 51%-43% the prior week.
* 28% said they already had voted.
* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.
* 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20):
* Voting for Biden: 49%
* Voting for Trump: 46%
* Since the margin is within the poll’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 48% to Trump’s 47%.
* 18% said they already had voted.
* 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45% said Trump would be better.
* 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.
