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Oil Prices Crumble Over Hurricane Ida Concerns

Oil prices dropped slightly yesterday on concerns that power outages and flooding in Louisiana after Hurricane Ida cut crude demand from refineries at the same time global producers plan to raise output.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 41 cents, or 0.6 per cent, to $68.80 a barrel reversing most of Monday’s gains.

Brent crude futures for October, due to expire on Tuesday, were down 46 cents, or 0.6 per cent, at $72.95 a barrel, after gaining nearly 1 per cent on Monday. The more active November contract fell 42 cents, or 0.6 per cent, to $71.81.

The prospect that extended refinery outages will curb oil demand weighed on prices.

Hurricane Ida shuttered or curtailed output at six refineries in Louisiana that process 1.92 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude, around 12 per cent of U.S. refining capacity.

“With companies currently assessing damages, a current timeline for how long shuttered capacity will be down is still uncertain,” RBC analysts said in a note.

With “catastrophic” damage to the grid in Louisiana, power outages could last three weeks, utility officials said, which would slow efforts to repair and restart energy facilities.

On the supply side, about 1.72 million bpd of oil production remained shut in the U.S. side of the Gulf of Mexico as platforms were evacuated ahead of the hurricane, with companies expecting it to take days to get a full assessment of possible damage.

Also keeping a lid on oil prices is the prospect that the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, and allies, together known as OPEC+, will agree to go ahead with plans to add another 400,000 bpd of supply each month through December.

OPEC+ will meet on Wednesday and delegates say they expect the production increase to go ahead, however Kuwait’s oil minister said on Sunday that plan could be reconsidered amid concerns about raging COVID-19 infections in Asia limiting fuel demand.

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