The full implications and ramifications of the Osun Gubernatorial Elections just won by the PDP

Arise TV interview moderated by Ayorinde and his two female colleagues with Adamu Abdullahi arguably the most powerful man in Nigeria today next to President Buhari has spoken volumes about the precarious political situation of Nigeria as we move forward.

Seeing is believing. I would urge you to go watch the video on YouTube and to draw your own conclusions as I am going to draw mine in the aftermath of the Osun State Gubernatorial election which was just won by the PDP and his flag bearer Senator Nurudeen Adeleke.

I have predicted in my article on Tinubu floating a Muslim/Muslim ticket and my takeaway from it for better or for worse, only after I know the outcome of the Osun Elections and whether or not they are going to confirm the emerging pattern from Ekiti Elections 2 weeks ago and what that could mean for the future?

I could not believe the arrogance of power and the combativeness and braggadocio displayed by Senator Abdullahi in that interview and the adroitness and perseverance and and professionalism of the 3 amazing journalists who interviewed him

How for God’s sake can anyone argue with a man who said he would not believe or comment on the outcome of the Osun Elections until he is formally informed by INEC.

He could care less about the INEC announcement of the elections on TV and in all of the major Nigerian Newspapers and tabloids.

Tinubu would certainly have a hard time negotiating with this guy who talks with so much authority and disdain for the people interviewing him and who likes to play to his own rule and could care less what others think.

The eloquent but arrogant lawyer and former journalist by profession left his interviewers in no doubt that he. as a Fulani born- again chieftain is among the power brokers of Nigeria who has been everything he wants to be in Nigeria before taking his current position and has been a ranking member of the two dominant Parties of APC and PDP which are both owned and dominated by the Fulanis of Nigeria.

The two parties. for all we know, are two sides of the same coin. The Fulanis win if either of them wins and they all know it.

The powerful Chairman had said he would do his level best to help the APC and his flag bearer win in 2023 but he would also not be shedding tears of terrible disappointment if the PDP were to win because he is invested in both parties like all of his Fulani compatriots including President Buhari. That is a fact nobody can dispute.

The Chairman had no problem at all with the rumors that many members of his Party may be contemplating crossing carpet to the PDP or vice verza and the implications of that for Nigeria.

That is perfectly predictable in Nigeria where cross-carpeting is their cup of tea. Some of our politicians go to bed as a member of the PDD and wake up the next morning as an APC member.

Adamu Abdullahi would be fine with such a development as long as power still firmly remains with the Fulani power brokers of Nigeria.

He did not say that in so many words but his body language and the handwriting on the wall was clear to those who can read between the lines.

The playing field is now becoming very clear for the PDP and Atiku to navigate and to coast to victory if they double down on their Campaign central message which has been so effective in Osun that if Nigerians feel they are better off today than they were before the APC came on board in 2015, they should vote for the APC, but if they are not, they should vote for the PDP and send the APC and its meaningless Broom Revolution to the garbage heap of History which was exactly what they did in Osun with the PDP winning in 17 Local Governments out of 30 and losing narrowly to the APC in 13.

The results in Osun have more or less accurately confirmed my prediction that only the APC and the PDP have sufficient organization structure and capacity to win in 2023 and that the new third force Parties like the Labor Party and NNPP and the other mushroom parties could make a dent but might not gather enough moss or traction to outrightly win or make a difference.

You all can write it down. The southerners are just being taken for a ride if you can believe it?

There are lots of conclusions and analysis to draw from the Osun Elections and the prospects of the APC in future elections if the INEC remains efficient and resolute in conducting a free and fair elections like they have just done in Ekiti and Osun. I give kudos to Professor Yakubu in particular and Professor Atahiru Jega who started the movement in 2015 to decapitate the PDP and to terminate more than 30 years rule.

Nigerians must not forget that both Yakubu and Jega are Muslims. Their Christian predecessors in INEC were a bunch of Election riggers, most of them including Ovie Whiskey and Nwosu were all Christians but they all fumbled but Nwosu was slight different.

The mere fact that Tinubu has been persuaded to pick a Muslim/Muslim ticket could set off an irreversible gamble or game changer that could irredeemably hurt his chances in his home base in the South and reduce him to “a prophet without honor in his home” like happened to Obasanjo when he woefully failed in the Yoruba Southwest in 1999 when he lost in his polling booth in Abeokuta and he became the orphan and the puppet of the Northerners who put him in that office because they trusted him more than any other southerner because he was willing to kiss their Ass to get what he wanted,

Of what use is Tinubu going to be to the country as a whole. if he becomes the errand boy of the Fulanis who put him in office against the better judgment of his home base in the South? History could predictably repeat itself.

That is if Tinubu is able to win at all but he may not win because his floating a Muslim/Muslim ticket may have damaged his chances beyond repairs in the Southern Geopolitical zones and in the Middle Belt at a time that the APC had very little to run on by way of concrete achievements and with the level of Corruption, Instability, Insecurity and Economic strangulation that has brought Nigeria to her knees as we speak under the Buhari’s Administration.

It is the PDP and its flag bearer that is going to be the major beneficiary from that Cul de sac, if you ask me.

Since the PDP is only slightly better than the APC right now because it is going to continue to promote the Fulani Agenda in Nigeria, that conundrum should draw strategic attention to the fact those agitating for IPOB, and Oodua Nation and the breakup of the country and not just for a major restructuring of the country are not as crazy as we are being made to believe.

Stay tuned for more introspection and insightful analysis. How I wish that Tinubu is as eloquent and articulate as Senator Abdullahi who initially floated the idea of a consensus candidate other than Tinubu but was overruled by 13 out of I4 Northern Governors of the APC.

I smell a rat somewhere. I don’t know about you?

I rest my case.

•Written By Wumi Akintide