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Dangote’s fortune hits $53.2bn as cement valuation crosses N20trn for first time

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Aliko Dangote’s estimated fortune rose to $53.2 billion on Monday as shares in Dangote Cement surged to a record high, pushing the company’s market capitalisation above N20 trillion for the first time, ahead of the closing of his refinery’s initial public offering (IPO) on Tuesday.

BusinessDay’s analysis of Forbes’ real-time billionaire tracker showed that Dangote, Africa’s richest man and founder of Dangote Group, added $1.2 billion to his estimated wealth on Monday, taking his net worth to $53.2 billion as of October 26, 2026, from $51 billion on October 20.

This means the industrialist’s fortune increased by $2.2 billion in less than a week, reflecting the combined effect of rising valuations of his publicly traded holdings and the earlier reassessment of his stake in the privately held Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

The latest gain coincided with a 10 percent rally in Dangote Cement shares on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), lifting the stock to N1,222.10 per share from N1,111 and raising the company’s market capitalisation to N20.6 trillion from N18.5 trillion on Friday.

The milestone makes Dangote Cement the second most valuable listed company on the NGX and the second to cross the N20 trillion market-capitalisation threshold, highlighting the growing influence of the industrial group on Nigeria’s equity market.

The latest rally has extended the stock’s gains this year. The continent’s largest cement producer opened trading in January at N609 per share and has since advanced 100.7 percent to its October 26 closing price, reaching a 52-week high.

The surge comes as investors approach the October 27 deadline for subscriptions to Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals’ N2.15 trillion ($1.6 billion) IPO, which offers 4.1 billion shares at N525 apiece.

The refinery extended the offer period from October 13 to October 27 following approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission, citing strong investor interest and efforts to broaden participation across African markets.

In a notice announcing the extension, the company said the additional time would support market-access initiatives across African jurisdictions and help prospective investors complete account-opening, identity-verification and regulatory requirements.

The IPO is among Nigeria’s most closely watched capital-market transactions, offering investors an opportunity to acquire shares in one of Africa’s largest industrial projects.

Stock market recovery lifts valuations

Dangote Cement’s rally coincided with a broader recovery in Nigerian equities. The NGX’s total market capitalisation climbed to N163.2 trillion on Monday, its highest level in about a month, while the All-Share Index advanced to 251,290.54 points from 247,222.30 points.

Analysts at CSL Research attributed the resilience of the Nigerian equities market to strong corporate earnings, improving macroeconomic conditions and ongoing policy reforms, despite intermittent profit-taking and heightened volatility.

“Despite intermittent profit-taking and episodes of heightened volatility, the Nigerian equities market has remained resilient in 2026, supported by robust corporate earnings, improving macroeconomic conditions and ongoing policy reforms,” the analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

Looking ahead, the firm maintained a constructive outlook, saying sustained earnings growth, greater macroeconomic stability, continued capital-market reforms and domestic investor participation could support market liquidity, investor sentiment and equity valuations.

“A recovery in foreign investor confidence could provide additional support to market activity. Nevertheless, geopolitical tensions, persistent inflationary pressures, pre-election uncertainty and tighter global financial conditions remain key downside risks that could weigh on investor sentiment and foreign capital flows,” CSL Research added.

Dangote Cement’s valuation also reflects its position as a major industrial player, with operations spanning several African markets, including Nigeria, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Senegal, Zambia, Cameroon, Ghana, the Republic of the Congo and South Africa.

Reports last week indicated that Femi Otedola, chairman of First HoldCo, was considering increasing his investment in Dangote Cement, potentially targeting a stake of up to 5 percent. The reported plan has not been independently confirmed.

If completed, the investment would give Otedola who is worth $1.9 billion a substantial minority interest in one of Dangote’s flagship businesses, linking two of Nigeria’s most prominent businessmen through the cement producer.

Refinery valuation reshapes Dangote’s fortune

Beyond movements in publicly traded shares, the valuation of Dangote’s privately held businesses has contributed to changes in his estimated wealth.

Forbes’ real-time billionaire tracker valued Dangote’s net worth at $53.2 billion on October 26, following an earlier reassessment of his stake in Dangote Petroleum Refinery that put his fortune at $51.7 billion in September.

The earlier revaluation followed a $2.5 billion private placement in the refinery, providing a market-based reference point for assessing the business’s value and Dangote’s stake in it.

Forbes updates its billionaire estimates during trading hours to reflect changes in the value of publicly listed holdings, while privately held assets are assessed periodically. Consequently, changes in Dangote’s estimated fortune can reflect both movements in share prices and revisions to the valuations of private businesses. (BusinessDay)

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