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Oil dips marginally, on track for biggest rise

Oil dips marginally, on track for biggest rise %Post Title

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil prices edged lower on the last trading day of the decade on Tuesday.

It is however still on track for monthly and annual gains, supported by a thaw in the prolonged U.S.-China trade row and Middle East unrest.

Brent has gained about 23 per cent in 2019 and WTI has risen 36per cent. Both benchmarks are set for their biggest yearly gains in three years, backed by a breakthrough in U.S.-China trade talks and output cuts pledged by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies.

On Tuesday, trade volumes remained low as many market participants were away for year-end holidays.

Brent crude was down 32 cents at $66.35 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude  fell 17 cents to $61.51 a barrel.

“This year’s oil trade is winding down amidst some subdued, low-volume trading conditions,” Jim Ritterbusch, president of trading advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates, said in a note.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that the Phase 1 trade deal with China would be signed on Jan. 15 at the White House.

The breakthrough in the talks has already boosted factories’ output and Chinese manufacturing activity expanded for a second straight month.

China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), an index showing economic trends in the manufacturing and service sectors, was unchanged at 50.2 in December from November, but still remained above the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction.

Tensions in the Middle East also kept traders on edge as thousands of protesters and militia fighters gathered outside the U.S. embassy in Baghdad to condemn U.S. air strikes against Iraqi militias.

Security guards inside the U.S. embassy fired stun grenades at protesters and the U.S. ambassador and other staff were evacuated due to security concerns. The U.S. strikes could pull Iraq further into the heart of a proxy conflict between the United States and Iran.

“Considering that Iraq is the second-largest OPEC producer with production around 4.6 million barrels per day, market participants may add a risk premium to oil tension if tensions last for longer,” UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

“That said, we need to see if the latest protests spread also in the south of the country, where most of the crude is exported.”

U.S. crude oil production in October rose to a record of 12.66 million barrels per day (bpd) from a revised 12.48 million bpd in September, the U.S. government said in a monthly report on Tuesday.  (AFP)

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